'26
OK-03 House Election Margin of Victory
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Republican 25-30% 18%
Republican 40-45% 7%
Republican 30-35% 32%
Republican 35-40% 10%
Republican 45-50% 6%
Republican 50%+ 12%
Republican 10-20% 1%
Democrat Wins 0.5%
Republican 0-10% 2%
Republican 20-25% 2%
Someone else 10%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
R2
Republican 25-30%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 17.59¢
NO 82.41¢
R4
Republican 40-45%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.8¢
NO 93.2¢
R3
Republican 30-35%
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 32.23¢
NO 67.77¢
R3
Republican 35-40%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.99¢
NO 90.01¢
R4
Republican 45-50%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.35¢
NO 93.65¢
R5
Republican 50%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.59¢
NO 88.41¢
R1
Republican 10-20%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
DW
Democrat Wins
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
R0
Republican 0-10%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
R2
Republican 20-25%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.1¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.65¢
NO 90.35¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
R2
Republican 25-30%
chance
18%
YES · 17.59¢
NO · 82.41¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 17.59¢
568.5
if Republican 25-30% wins
+$440 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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R2
Republican 25-30%
YES 17.59¢ · NO 82.41¢ · chance 18%
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