'26
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Hinson 0-3% 33%
Hinson 3-6% 18%
Turek 0-3% 25%
Turek 3-6% 12%
Hinson 6-9% 2%
Hinson 12%+ 1%
Hinson 9-12% 1%
Turek 6-9% 4%
Turek 12%+ 3%
Turek 9-12% 1%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
H0
Hinson 0-3%
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 32.77¢
NO 67.23¢
H3
Hinson 3-6%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 17.79¢
NO 82.21¢
T0
Turek 0-3%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 25.28¢
NO 74.72¢
T3
Turek 3-6%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.03¢
NO 87.97¢
H6
Hinson 6-9%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
H1
Hinson 12%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
H9
Hinson 9-12%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
T6
Turek 6-9%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.12¢
NO 95.88¢
T1
Turek 12%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.76¢
NO 97¢
T9
Turek 9-12%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
H0
Hinson 0-3%
chance
33%
YES · 32.77¢
NO · 67.23¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 32.77¢
305.2
if Hinson 0-3% wins
+$190 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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H0
Hinson 0-3%
YES 32.77¢ · NO 67.23¢ · chance 33%
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