'26
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 30?
resolves Oct 30, 2026 · source: https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=RJTT&format=raw&date=2026-10-30T18:00:00Z&hours=30
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
18°C 28%
17°C 4%
24°C 0.5%
22°C 5%
21°C 7%
19°C 32%
23°C 2%
16°C 0.5%
25°C or higher 0.5%
20°C 19%
15°C or below 0.5%
Someone else 1%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
18
18°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 28.04¢
NO 71.96¢
17
17°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.84¢
NO 96.16¢
24
24°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
22
22°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.92¢
NO 95.08¢
21
21°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.59¢
NO 93.41¢
19
19°C
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 32.46¢
NO 67.54¢
23
23°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.21¢
NO 97¢
16
16°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
2H
25°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
20
20°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 18.69¢
NO 81.31¢
1B
15°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
18
18°C
chance
28%
YES · 28.04¢
NO · 71.96¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 28.04¢
356.6
if 18°C wins
+$239 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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18
18°C
YES 28.04¢ · NO 71.96¢ · chance 28%
TRADE
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