'27
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?
resolves Apr 1, 2027 · source: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso/roni/
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME · 90 DAYS
Over 2.5 77%
2.25–2.5 18%
2.0–2.25 2%
1.5–2.0 1%
Under 1.5 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
O5
Over 2.5
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
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9
0
1
2
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8
9
%
YES 77.3¢
NO 22.7¢
25
2.25–2.5
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 18.34¢
NO 81.66¢
22
2.0–2.25
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.48¢
NO 97¢
10
1.5–2.0
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
U5
Under 1.5
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
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8
9
.
0
1
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5
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8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
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9
.
0
1
2
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
O5
Over 2.5
chance
77%
YES · 77.3¢
NO · 22.7¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 77.3¢
129.4
if Over 2.5 wins
+$23 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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O5
Over 2.5
YES 77.3¢ · NO 22.7¢ · chance 77%
TRADE
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