'26
CA-36 House Election Winner
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Houston Brignano (R) 4%
Ted Lieu (D) 96%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
H(
Houston Brignano (R)
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.53¢
NO 96.47¢
T(
Ted Lieu (D)
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 95.97¢
NO 4.03¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
H(
Houston Brignano (R)
chance
4%
YES · 3.53¢
NO · 96.47¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 3.53¢
2832.9
if Houston Brignano (R) wins
+$2591 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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H(
Houston Brignano (R)
YES 3.53¢ · NO 96.47¢ · chance 4%
TRADE
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