'26
CA-52 House Election Winner
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Juan Vargas (D) 96%
Jeff Belle (R) 2%
Someone else 2%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
J(
Juan Vargas (D)
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 95.85¢
NO 4.15¢
J(
Jeff Belle (R)
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.15¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
J(
Juan Vargas (D)
chance
96%
YES · 95.85¢
NO · 4.15¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 95.85¢
104.3
if Juan Vargas (D) wins
−$1 loss
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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J(
Juan Vargas (D)
YES 95.85¢ · NO 4.15¢ · chance 96%
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