'26
Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
resolves Nov 3, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Sullivan 3-6% 5%
Peltola 3-6% 24%
Sullivan 0-3% 20%
Peltola 0-3% 33%
Peltola 6-9% 6%
Sullivan 9-12% 1%
Peltola 9-12% 2%
Sullivan 12+% 3%
Sullivan 6-9% 1%
Peltola 12+% 1%
Someone else 7%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
S3
Sullivan 3-6%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.5¢
NO 95.5¢
P3
Peltola 3-6%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 24¢
NO 76¢
S0
Sullivan 0-3%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 19.5¢
NO 80.5¢
P0
Peltola 0-3%
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 32.5¢
NO 67.5¢
P6
Peltola 6-9%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.05¢
NO 93.95¢
S9
Sullivan 9-12%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
P9
Peltola 9-12%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
S1
Sullivan 12+%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.55¢
NO 97¢
S6
Sullivan 6-9%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
P1
Peltola 12+%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.05¢
NO 92.95¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
S3
Sullivan 3-6%
chance
5%
YES · 4.5¢
NO · 95.5¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 4.5¢
2222.2
if Sullivan 3-6% wins
+$2011 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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S3
Sullivan 3-6%
YES 4.5¢ · NO 95.5¢ · chance 5%
TRADE
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