'26
Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Republican 30-35% 22%
Republican 25-30% 4%
Republican 40-45% 28%
Republican 50%+ 9%
Republican 45-50% 8%
Republican 20-25% 4%
Republican 35-40% 16%
Republican 15-20% 4%
Republican 10-15% 2%
Republican 0-10% 2%
Democrat Wins 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
R3
Republican 30-35%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 21.92¢
NO 78.08¢
R2
Republican 25-30%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.34¢
NO 95.66¢
R4
Republican 40-45%
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 28.25¢
NO 71.75¢
R5
Republican 50%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.52¢
NO 91.48¢
R4
Republican 45-50%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.65¢
NO 92.35¢
R2
Republican 20-25%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.85¢
NO 96.15¢
R3
Republican 35-40%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.42¢
NO 83.59¢
R1
Republican 15-20%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.14¢
NO 95.86¢
R1
Republican 10-15%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.34¢
NO 97¢
R0
Republican 0-10%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
DW
Democrat Wins
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
R3
Republican 30-35%
chance
22%
YES · 21.92¢
NO · 78.08¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 21.92¢
456.2
if Republican 30-35% wins
+$333 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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R3
Republican 30-35%
YES 21.92¢ · NO 78.08¢ · chance 22%
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