Predict Bay™

Sub-second event trading on Sui, powered by DeepBook Predict. Practice mode live today.

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© 2026 PredictBay Pte. Ltd.Practice mode uses points · Sui mode settles in real USDC on mainnet · rounds settle against on-chain price feeds
$PBAY TOKENOMICSLIVE ON CETUS

$PBAY Is Live
Fair Launch

The utility token powering PredictBay™ — a Silicon Valley-born consumer prediction market built on Sui DeepBook Predict.
$22B+ in practice trading volume since the January 2026 stealth launch. Backed by leading Silicon Valley investors. Supported by the Sui ecosystem and Mysten Labs. Panama-incorporated with a global-first structure. Live on Cetus now.

How to buy $PBAY →See the full design ↓SUI · DEEPBOOK · OCT 8 · 12:00 UTC
$PBAY IS LIVEBuy $PBAY now
AT LAUNCH — ITEMISED17.000%
Launch liquidity · locked in trading pools170.0m
TOTAL FLOAT170,000,000

Nothing else exists at launch. Every other pool is locked for two years, then unlocks only as trading fees grow.

17%OF SUPPLY AT LAUNCH — ALL LOCKED
24 MOLOCK ON EVERY OTHER POOL
10FEE MILESTONES UNLOCK THE REST

The only official $PBAY address is 0xe68a7178ccebade5c46668747c9a066c3a35ae33a6698fa9de4eca88e58305d2::pbay::PBAY — published on predictbay.io & @PredictBay. Not an offer or investment advice.

NO PRESALE✦NO TOKEN SALE✦NO AIRDROP✦17% AT LAUNCH · ALL LOCKED LIQUIDITY✦NOTHING ELSE UNLOCKS FOR 2 YEARS✦UNLOCKS ONLY AS FEES GROW✦40% OF OUR INCOME BUYS & BURNS✦SUPPLY BURN-ONLY AT GENESIS✦LAUNCH 8 OCT 2026✦
NO PRESALE✦NO TOKEN SALE✦NO AIRDROP✦17% AT LAUNCH · ALL LOCKED LIQUIDITY✦NOTHING ELSE UNLOCKS FOR 2 YEARS✦UNLOCKS ONLY AS FEES GROW✦40% OF OUR INCOME BUYS & BURNS✦SUPPLY BURN-ONLY AT GENESIS✦LAUNCH 8 OCT 2026✦
01 — ALLOCATION

Where the billion goes

TO USERS 37%TEAM & INVESTORS 18%COMPANY 28%
30%
23%
18%
17%
7%
  • Trading rewards2-year lock, then fee milestones · paid to traders by fees paid
    30%300,000,000
  • Treasury2-year lock, then fee milestones
    23%230,000,000
  • Team & investorsSplit per the cap table · 2-year lock, then fee milestones
    18%180,000,000
  • Launch liquidityIn trading pools at launch · locked 4 years
    17%170,000,000
  • Market makers & creators2-year lock, then fee milestones
    7%70,000,000
  • Insurance reserveMoves only by vote · burned Oct 2031 if unused
    5%50,000,000
02 — UNLOCKS

Tied to fees, not to time.

Nothing but the launch liquidity unlocks for two years. After that, tokens unlock only when PredictBay users pay real trading fees: each of ten fee milestones unlocks 10% of every locked pool (78.0m), paid over six months, one after another — so at most 13.0m a month. No fees, no unlock. Anything still unpaid on 8 Oct 2036 is burned.

1B MAX SUPPLY
170M17%
248M25%
326M33%
404M40%
482M48%
560M56%
638M64%
716M72%
794M79%
872M87%
950M95%
Launch$1M$2M$3M$5M$10M$20M$30M$50M$75M$100M
TOTAL TRADING FEES PAID BY PREDICTBAY USERS (US$, ALL TIME)
  • Launch liquidity
  • Trading rewards
  • Treasury
  • Team & investors
  • Market makers & creators
  • 8 OCT 2026 — LAUNCHOnly the launch liquidity exists, all of it locked in trading pools170m · 17% · nothing else
  • 8 OCT 2028 — LOCK ENDSFee milestones can start paying out from the next monthfirst $1M of fees → 248.0m
  • 8 OCT 2031 — RESERVEInsurance reserve is burned if it was never used50m · burns
  • 8 OCT 2036 — DEADLINEThe last payout; anything not yet paid out is burnedno unlocks after this
$PBAY unlocks by pool: total allocation, share unlocked at launch, lock, how it unlocks and when it ends.
POOLTOTALAT LAUNCHLOCKUNLOCKSENDS
Launch liquidity170.0m100%—In trading pools, LP locked 4 yearsOct 2026
Trading rewards300.0m024 mo30.0m per fee milestone, paid over 6 moby Oct 2036
Treasury230.0m024 mo23.0m per fee milestone, paid over 6 moby Oct 2036
Team & investors180.0m024 mo18.0m per fee milestone, paid over 6 moby Oct 2036
Market makers & creators70.0m024 mo7.0m per fee milestone, paid over 6 moby Oct 2036
Insurance reserve50.0m024 moMoves only by voteBurns Oct 2031
03 — THE BURN ENGINE

Trades fund a burn

DeepBook Predict charges the trading fee; PredictBay earns a 10% referral share of it. 40% of that income buys PBAY on the market and destroys it. The burn is real but small at first — it will not cancel out new unlocks for years.

🔥 BURN SIMULATOR — DRAG THE FEES10% OUR SHARE · 40% OF IT BURNS
$250K
$10K$1M$2.5M$5M
ANNUAL BUY & BURN$120.0Kbought on the market and destroyed
SUPPLY DIRECTIONONLY ↓burn-only at genesis · anything unpaid in 2036 burns too

Simulation of the planned split at today’s 10% referral rate, which Mysten sets (0–25%) and can change — not a projection of fees, price or returns.

⚠ WHY EMISSIONS CAN’T BE FARMED — THE 1,000× TRAP
$1 traded → 100 pts → $2.00 of practice funds vs $0.002 fee = 1,000×

Today’s points economy is safe only because it pays non-transferable practice balance. Peg a liquid token to points or volume at any fixed rate and wash traders mint it for free. So $PBAY never pays per unit of volume:

FIX A — FIXED BUDGET, FEE-WEIGHTEDshare_i = fees_paid_i / Σ fees_paid × budget

Wash trading can’t mint supply — it only redistributes a capped pool while paying real fees. The attack pays for its own dilution.

FIX B — FEE MILESTONESunlock = 10% of each pool per fee milestone

No fees → no unlocks. Only fees from accounts 30+ days old that pay $5+ a month count, and anything unpaid by 8 Oct 2036 is burned. Fake trading is costly, not impossible.

LIVE SINCE OCT 8 · 12:00 UTC · SUI

No presale. No round. Just the open market.

Buy $PBAY nowHow to buy $PBAY →Play free now

There is no airdrop: points stay in the practice game and don’t convert into $PBAY. The contract address above is the only one; it is published only on predictbay.io and @PredictBay. Anything else is a scam.

$PBAY IS LIVEBuy $PBAY nowHow to buy →