'29
Who will be President of the USA in 2029?
resolves Jan 20, 2029 · source: AP call of the 2028 US presidential election
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
J.D. Vance 34%
Gavin Newsom 27%
A. Ocasio-Cortez 11%
V. Ramaswamy 9%
Someone else 19%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
JV
J.D. Vance
LEADER
+0.0pt today
0
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9
%
YES 34¢
NO 66¢
GN
Gavin Newsom
+0.0pt today
0
1
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0
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9
%
YES 27¢
NO 73¢
AO
A. Ocasio-Cortez
+0.0pt today
0
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9
0
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9
%
YES 11¢
NO 89¢
VR
V. Ramaswamy
+0.0pt today
0
1
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9
%
YES 9¢
NO 91¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
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9
0
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9
%
YES 19¢
NO 81¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
JV
J.D. Vance
chance
34%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 34¢
NO · 66¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 34¢
294.1
if J.D. Vance wins
+$179 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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JV
J.D. Vance
YES 34¢ · NO 66¢ · chance 34%
TICKET
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