'29
Which party controls the US House of Representatives in January 2029?
resolves Jan 12, 2029 · source: Certified results of the 2028 US House elections
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
Democratic 55%
Republican 44%
Neither 1%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
D
Democratic
LEADER
+0.0pt today
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9
%
YES 55¢
NO 45¢
R
Republican
+0.0pt today
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%
YES 44¢
NO 56¢
N
Neither
+0.0pt today
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%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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fee 5% at settlement
D
Democratic
chance
55%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 55¢
NO · 45¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 55¢
181.8
if Democratic wins
+$73 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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D
Democratic
YES 55¢ · NO 45¢ · chance 55%
TICKET
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