'27
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?
resolves Jul 1, 2027 · source: https://agi.safe.ai/
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Yes 95%
No 5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
YE
Yes
LEADER
no 24h history yet
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9
0
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8
9
%
YES 95.45¢
NO 4.55¢
NO
No
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
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9
%
YES 4.55¢
NO 95.45¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
YE
Yes
chance
95%
YES · 95.45¢
NO · 4.55¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 95.45¢
104.8
if Yes wins
≈$0 · breaks even
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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YE
Yes
YES 95.45¢ · NO 4.55¢ · chance 95%
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