'27
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?
resolves Jul 1, 2027 · source: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Yes 18%
No 82%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
YE
Yes
no 24h history yet
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9
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9
%
YES 18¢
NO 82¢
NO
No
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
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0
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%
YES 82¢
NO 18¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
YE
Yes
chance
18%
YES · 18¢
NO · 82¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 18¢
555.6
if Yes wins
+$428 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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YE
Yes
YES 18¢ · NO 82¢ · chance 18%
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