'27
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
resolves Jul 1, 2027 · source: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Yes 64%
No 37%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
YE
Yes
LEADER
no 24h history yet
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9
%
YES 63.5¢
NO 36.5¢
NO
No
no 24h history yet
0
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%
YES 36.5¢
NO 63.5¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
YE
Yes
chance
64%
YES · 63.5¢
NO · 36.5¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 63.5¢
157.5
if Yes wins
+$50 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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YE
Yes
YES 63.5¢ · NO 36.5¢ · chance 64%
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