'27
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
resolves Jan 1, 2027 · source: https://agi.safe.ai/
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Yes 37%
No 64%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
YE
Yes
no 24h history yet
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9
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9
%
YES 36.5¢
NO 63.5¢
NO
No
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
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%
YES 63.5¢
NO 36.5¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
YE
Yes
chance
37%
YES · 36.5¢
NO · 63.5¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 36.5¢
274.0
if Yes wins
+$160 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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predictbay.io
YE
Yes
YES 36.5¢ · NO 63.5¢ · chance 37%
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