'27
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?
resolves Jan 1, 2027 · source: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Yes 62%
No 39%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
YE
Yes
LEADER
no 24h history yet
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9
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%
YES 61.5¢
NO 38.5¢
NO
No
no 24h history yet
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%
YES 38.5¢
NO 61.5¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
YE
Yes
chance
62%
YES · 61.5¢
NO · 38.5¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 61.5¢
162.6
if Yes wins
+$54 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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YE
Yes
YES 61.5¢ · NO 38.5¢ · chance 62%
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