'26
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
resolves Dec 31, 2026 · source: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Yes 14%
No 86%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
YE
Yes
no 24h history yet
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9
0
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2
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8
9
%
YES 14.45¢
NO 85.55¢
NO
No
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
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9
0
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2
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%
YES 85.55¢
NO 14.45¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
YE
Yes
chance
14%
YES · 14.45¢
NO · 85.55¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 14.45¢
692.0
if Yes wins
+$557 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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YE
Yes
YES 14.45¢ · NO 85.55¢ · chance 14%
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