'27
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?
resolves Jan 1, 2027 · source: https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Yes 27%
No 73%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
YE
Yes
no 24h history yet
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9
%
YES 27¢
NO 73¢
NO
No
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
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%
YES 73¢
NO 27¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
YE
Yes
chance
27%
YES · 27¢
NO · 73¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 27¢
370.4
if Yes wins
+$252 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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YE
Yes
YES 27¢ · NO 73¢ · chance 27%
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