'27
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?
resolves Jan 1, 2027 · source: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-ab5413cb-1c83-497e-b03e-2ed7ca70117d/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
Yes 50%
No 50%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
YE
Yes
+0.0pt today
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YES 50¢
NO 50¢
NO
No
+0.0pt today
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YES 50¢
NO 50¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
YE
Yes
chance
50%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 50¢
NO · 50¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 50¢
200.0
if Yes wins
+$90 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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YE
Yes
YES 50¢ · NO 50¢ · chance 50%
TICKET
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