'27
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
resolves Jul 1, 2027 · source: https://agi.safe.ai/
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Yes 84%
No 17%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
YE
Yes
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 83.5¢
NO 16.5¢
NO
No
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.5¢
NO 83.5¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
RELATED MARKETS
ai
LIVE
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
$0 24h vol
ai
LIVE
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
$0 24h vol
crypto
LIVE
BTC/USD — above or below in 10 minutes?
live rounds →
PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
YE
Yes
chance
84%
YES · 83.5¢
NO · 16.5¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 83.5¢
119.8
if Yes wins
+$14 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
Sign in to trade
MY POSITIONS
Sign in to see your positions on this market.
✦
Every settled trade earns Points —
see what earns Points →
ACTIVITY
No trades on this market yet.
predictbay.io
YE
Yes
YES 83.5¢ · NO 16.5¢ · chance 84%
TRADE
Sign in to trade