'26
Will Ernst Fehr win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
resolves Oct 13, 2026 · source: https://www.nobelprize.org/
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Yes 7%
No 93%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
YE
Yes
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
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6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.7¢
NO 93.3¢
NO
No
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
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6
7
8
9
%
YES 93.3¢
NO 6.7¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
YE
Yes
chance
7%
YES · 6.7¢
NO · 93.3¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 6.7¢
1492.5
if Yes wins
+$1318 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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YE
Yes
YES 6.7¢ · NO 93.3¢ · chance 7%
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