'26
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
resolves Nov 1, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
5-7 77%
<5 0.5%
8-10 21%
11-13 0.5%
14+ 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
5-
5-7
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 76.73¢
NO 23.27¢
<5
<5
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
8-
8-10
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 21.29¢
NO 78.71¢
11
11-13
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
14
14+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
5-
5-7
chance
77%
YES · 76.73¢
NO · 23.27¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 76.73¢
130.3
if 5-7 wins
+$24 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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predictbay.io
5-
5-7
YES 76.73¢ · NO 23.27¢ · chance 77%
TRADE
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