'26
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Oil < $85; D Senate 14%
Oil < $85; R Senate 9%
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate 50%
Oil ≥ $85; R Senate 27%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
OS
Oil < $85; D Senate
no 24h history yet
0
1
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8
9
0
1
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8
9
%
YES 13.96¢
NO 86.04¢
OS
Oil < $85; R Senate
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.7¢
NO 91.3¢
OS
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
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8
9
0
1
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9
%
YES 50.1¢
NO 49.9¢
OS
Oil ≥ $85; R Senate
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
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8
9
%
YES 26.75¢
NO 73.25¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
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3
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8
9
.
0
1
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
OS
Oil < $85; D Senate
chance
14%
YES · 13.96¢
NO · 86.04¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 13.96¢
716.3
if Oil < $85; D Senate wins
+$581 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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OS
Oil < $85; D Senate
YES 13.96¢ · NO 86.04¢ · chance 14%
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