'26
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate 9%
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate 7%
No Hormuz Agreement 83%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
HS
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
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8
9
%
YES 9.41¢
NO 90.59¢
HS
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.43¢
NO 92.57¢
NA
No Hormuz Agreement
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 82.67¢
NO 17.33¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
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7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
HS
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate
chance
9%
YES · 9.41¢
NO · 90.59¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 9.41¢
1062.7
if Hormuz Agreement; D Senate wins
+$910 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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HS
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate
YES 9.41¢ · NO 90.59¢ · chance 9%
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