'26
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate 5%
No Hormuz Agreement 86%
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate 8%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
HS
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
no 24h history yet
0
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8
9
%
YES 4.79¢
NO 95.21¢
NA
No Hormuz Agreement
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
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9
0
1
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8
9
%
YES 86.33¢
NO 13.67¢
HS
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
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5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.39¢
NO 91.61¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
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8
9
.
0
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
HS
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
chance
5%
YES · 4.79¢
NO · 95.21¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 4.79¢
2087.7
if Hormuz Agreement; R Senate wins
+$1883 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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HS
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
YES 4.79¢ · NO 95.21¢ · chance 5%
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