'26
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
resolves Nov 3, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
IA 6%
MI 2%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX 4%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX 3%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI 1%
IA, OH 1%
AK, IA 1%
KS 3%
IA, ME, MI 1%
None 25%
AK, IA, KS 2%
AK, ME 0.5%
Someone else 51%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
IA
IA
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 5.83¢
NO 94.17¢
MI
MI
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
IT
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.99¢
NO 96.01¢
AT
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.94¢
NO 97¢
AM
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
IO
IA, OH
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
AI
AK, IA
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
KS
KS
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.04¢
NO 96.96¢
IM
IA, ME, MI
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
NO
None
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 25.41¢
NO 74.59¢
AK
AK, IA, KS
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
AM
AK, ME
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 51.07¢
NO 48.93¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
IA
IA
chance
6%
YES · 5.83¢
NO · 94.17¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 5.83¢
1715.3
if IA wins
+$1530 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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IA
IA
YES 5.83¢ · NO 94.17¢ · chance 6%
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