'27
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
resolves Jan 1, 2027 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
Avengers: Doomsday 8%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 8%
Dune: Messiah 8%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 8%
Movie B 8%
Movie C 8%
Movie D 8%
Movie E 8%
Movie F 8%
Movie G 8%
Movie H 8%
Movie I 8%
Someone else 8%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
AD
Avengers: Doomsday
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
SD
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
DM
Dune: Messiah
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
TR
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
MB
Movie B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
MC
Movie C
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
MD
Movie D
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
ME
Movie E
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
MF
Movie F
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
MG
Movie G
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
MH
Movie H
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
MI
Movie I
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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Avengers: Doomsday
chance
8%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 7.69¢
NO · 92.31¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 7.69¢
1300.4
if Avengers: Doomsday wins
+$1135 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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AD
Avengers: Doomsday
YES 7.69¢ · NO 92.31¢ · chance 8%
TICKET
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