'27
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
resolves Jan 1, 2027 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
None in 2026 8%
OpenAI 8%
Anthropic 8%
DeepSeek 8%
Google 8%
Alibaba 8%
Z.ai 8%
Mistral 8%
xAI 8%
Other 8%
Company D 8%
Company E 8%
Someone else 8%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
N2
None in 2026
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
OP
OpenAI
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
AN
Anthropic
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
DE
DeepSeek
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
GO
Google
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
AL
Alibaba
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
ZA
Z.ai
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
MI
Mistral
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
XA
xAI
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
OT
Other
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
CD
Company D
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
CE
Company E
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
N2
None in 2026
chance
8%
YES · 7.69¢
NO · 92.31¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 7.69¢
1300.4
if None in 2026 wins
+$1135 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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predictbay.io
N2
None in 2026
YES 7.69¢ · NO 92.31¢ · chance 8%
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