'26
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
resolves Oct 31, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Anthropic 73%
OpenAI 17%
Google 6%
Meta 0.5%
SpaceXAI 0.5%
Microsoft 0.5%
Baidu 0.5%
Mistral 0.5%
DeepSeek 0.5%
StepFun 0.5%
Tencent 1%
Alibaba 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
AN
Anthropic
LEADER
no 24h history yet
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YES 72.82¢
NO 27.18¢
OP
OpenAI
no 24h history yet
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YES 16.7¢
NO 83.3¢
GO
Google
no 24h history yet
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%
YES 5.75¢
NO 94.25¢
ME
Meta
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9
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SP
SpaceXAI
no 24h history yet
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
MI
Microsoft
no 24h history yet
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9
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
BA
Baidu
no 24h history yet
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0
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9
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
MI
Mistral
no 24h history yet
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0
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9
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
DE
DeepSeek
no 24h history yet
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.
0
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
ST
StepFun
no 24h history yet
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9
.
0
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
TE
Tencent
no 24h history yet
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
AL
Alibaba
no 24h history yet
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
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0
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%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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fee 5% at settlement
AN
Anthropic
chance
73%
YES · 72.82¢
NO · 27.18¢
STAKE
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shares @ 72.82¢
137.3
if Anthropic wins
+$30 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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AN
Anthropic
YES 72.82¢ · NO 27.18¢ · chance 73%
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