'26
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
resolves Nov 8, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Other 9%
National + ACT + NZF 43%
Labour + Green + Maori 13%
Labour + Green 21%
National + ACT 3%
Labour + Green + Maori + NZF 0.5%
National + NZF 0.5%
Labour + Green + NZF 0.5%
National + ACT + NZF + Maori 0.5%
Labour + Maori 1%
Labour 1%
Labour + NZF 1%
Someone else 6%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
OT
Other
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.19¢
NO 90.81¢
NN
National + ACT + NZF
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 43.5¢
NO 56.5¢
LM
Labour + Green + Maori
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 13.35¢
NO 86.65¢
LG
Labour + Green
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 20.66¢
NO 79.34¢
NA
National + ACT
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.52¢
NO 97¢
LN
Labour + Green + Maori + NZF
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
NN
National + NZF
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
LN
Labour + Green + NZF
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
NM
National + ACT + NZF + Maori
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
LM
Labour + Maori
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
LA
Labour
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
LN
Labour + NZF
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.48¢
NO 93.52¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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fee 5% at settlement
OT
Other
chance
9%
YES · 9.19¢
NO · 90.81¢
STAKE
$25
$100
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shares @ 9.19¢
1088.1
if Other wins
+$934 profit
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YES 9.19¢ · NO 90.81¢ · chance 9%
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