'26
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Democrat Wins 56%
Republican 0-5% 12%
Republican 5-10% 13%
Republican 10-15% 8%
Republican 15-20% 5%
Republican 30%+ 1%
Republican 20-25% 1%
Republican 25-30% 2%
Someone else 3%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
DW
Democrat Wins
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 56¢
NO 44¢
R0
Republican 0-5%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12¢
NO 88¢
R5
Republican 5-10%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 13¢
NO 87¢
R1
Republican 10-15%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.5¢
NO 92.5¢
R1
Republican 15-20%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 5.3¢
NO 94.7¢
R3
Republican 30%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
R2
Republican 20-25%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
R2
Republican 25-30%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.65¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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DW
Democrat Wins
chance
56%
YES · 56¢
NO · 44¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 56¢
178.6
if Democrat Wins wins
+$70 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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DW
Democrat Wins
YES 56¢ · NO 44¢ · chance 56%
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