'27
US economic state at the end of 2026?
resolves Jan 31, 2027 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) 20%
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 20%
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 20%
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) 20%
Someone else 20%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
S5
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 20¢
NO 80¢
O5
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 20¢
NO 80¢
S5
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 20¢
NO 80¢
S5
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 20¢
NO 80¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 20¢
NO 80¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
S5
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
chance
20%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 20¢
NO · 80¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 20¢
500.0
if Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) wins
+$375 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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Paper mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
S5
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
YES 20¢ · NO 80¢ · chance 20%
TICKET
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