'27
US economic state at the end of 2026?
resolves Feb 1, 2027 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) 54%
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 41%
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 4%
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
S5
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 54.33¢
NO 45.67¢
O5
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 40.63¢
NO 59.37¢
S5
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.06¢
NO 95.94¢
S5
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
S5
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
chance
54%
YES · 54.33¢
NO · 45.67¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 54.33¢
184.1
if Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) wins
+$75 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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S5
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
YES 54.33¢ · NO 45.67¢ · chance 54%
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