'26
TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Democrat 9-12% 15%
Democrat 6-9% 11%
Republican 0-3% 5%
Democrat 21%+ 16%
Democrat 12-15% 15%
Republican 3%+ 1%
Democrat 15-18% 13%
Democrat 3-6% 10%
Democrat 0-3% 6%
Democrat 18-21% 7%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
D9
Democrat 9-12%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 15.22¢
NO 84.78¢
D6
Democrat 6-9%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10.94¢
NO 89.06¢
R0
Republican 0-3%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 5.38¢
NO 94.62¢
D2
Democrat 21%+
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.22¢
NO 83.78¢
D1
Democrat 12-15%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 15.08¢
NO 84.92¢
R3
Republican 3%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
D1
Democrat 15-18%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.84¢
NO 87.16¢
D3
Democrat 3-6%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.51¢
NO 90.49¢
D0
Democrat 0-3%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.23¢
NO 93.77¢
D1
Democrat 18-21%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.37¢
NO 92.63¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
D9
Democrat 9-12%
chance
15%
YES · 15.22¢
NO · 84.78¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 15.22¢
657.0
if Democrat 9-12% wins
+$524 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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D9
Democrat 9-12%
YES 15.22¢ · NO 84.78¢ · chance 15%
TRADE
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