'26
Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner
resolves Nov 3, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
James Talarico (D) 95%
Ken Paxton (R) 3%
Someone else 2%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
J(
James Talarico (D)
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 94.9¢
NO 5.1¢
K(
Ken Paxton (R)
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.95¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.15¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
J(
James Talarico (D)
chance
95%
YES · 94.9¢
NO · 5.1¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 94.9¢
105.4
if James Talarico (D) wins
≈$0 · breaks even
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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J(
James Talarico (D)
YES 94.9¢ · NO 5.1¢ · chance 95%
TRADE
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