'28
Strava IPO Closing Market Cap
resolves Jan 1, 2028 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
2B–3B 10%
3B–4B 10%
10B–15B 10%
15B+ 10%
4B–5B 10%
7B–10B 10%
5B–7B 10%
<2B 10%
No IPO before 2028 10%
Someone else 10%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
2B
2B–3B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10¢
NO 90¢
3B
3B–4B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10¢
NO 90¢
10
10B–15B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10¢
NO 90¢
15
15B+
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10¢
NO 90¢
4B
4B–5B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10¢
NO 90¢
7B
7B–10B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10¢
NO 90¢
5B
5B–7B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10¢
NO 90¢
<2
<2B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10¢
NO 90¢
N2
No IPO before 2028
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10¢
NO 90¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10¢
NO 90¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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live rounds →
ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
2B
2B–3B
chance
10%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 10¢
NO · 90¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 10¢
1000.0
if 2B–3B wins
+$850 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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predictbay.io
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2B
2B–3B
YES 10¢ · NO 90¢ · chance 10%
TICKET
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