'26
Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place
resolves Oct 5, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Manuela D'Ávila 15%
Marcel Van Hattem 18%
Rigotto 5%
Sanderson 55%
Pimenta 3%
Luciano do MLB 0.5%
Tania Peres 0.5%
Ric Jones 0.5%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas 0.5%
Renato Jaguarão 0.5%
Frederico Antunes 0.5%
Regis Ethur 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
MD
Manuela D'Ávila
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 15.3¢
NO 84.7¢
MH
Marcel Van Hattem
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 17.52¢
NO 82.48¢
RI
Rigotto
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 5.01¢
NO 94.99¢
SA
Sanderson
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 55.4¢
NO 44.6¢
PI
Pimenta
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.06¢
NO 96.94¢
LM
Luciano do MLB
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
TP
Tania Peres
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
RJ
Ric Jones
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
DS
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
RJ
Renato Jaguarão
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
FA
Frederico Antunes
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
RE
Regis Ethur
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
MD
Manuela D'Ávila
chance
15%
YES · 15.3¢
NO · 84.7¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 15.3¢
653.6
if Manuela D'Ávila wins
+$521 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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MD
Manuela D'Ávila
YES 15.3¢ · NO 84.7¢ · chance 15%
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