'28
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
resolves Jan 1, 2028 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
No IPO before 2028 11%
20B–30B 11%
50B–75B 11%
100B+ 11%
<20B 11%
30B–40B 11%
40B–50B 11%
75B–100B 11%
Someone else 11%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
N2
No IPO before 2028
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
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8
9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
20
20B–30B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
50
50B–75B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
10
100B+
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
<2
<20B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
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8
9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
30
30B–40B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
40
40B–50B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
75
75B–100B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
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8
9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
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9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
N2
No IPO before 2028
chance
11%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 11.11¢
NO · 88.89¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 11.11¢
900.1
if No IPO before 2028 wins
+$755 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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N2
No IPO before 2028
YES 11.11¢ · NO 88.89¢ · chance 11%
TICKET
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