'26
PA-11 House Election Winner
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Lloyd Smucker (R) 95%
Nancy Mannion (D) 4%
Someone else 1%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
L(
Lloyd Smucker (R)
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 95.35¢
NO 4.65¢
N(
Nancy Mannion (D)
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.85¢
NO 96.15¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
L(
Lloyd Smucker (R)
chance
95%
YES · 95.35¢
NO · 4.65¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 95.35¢
104.9
if Lloyd Smucker (R) wins
≈$0 · breaks even
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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L(
Lloyd Smucker (R)
YES 95.35¢ · NO 4.65¢ · chance 95%
TRADE
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