'27
Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner
resolves Jul 1, 2027 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Christopher Nolan 58%
Denis Villeneuve 12%
Alejandro G. Iñárritu 2%
Lance Oppenheim 13%
Javier Calvo or Javier Ambrossi 10%
Peter Farrelly 1%
Phil Lord or Christopher Miller 1%
Olivia Wilde 1%
Martin McDonagh 2%
Aaron Sorkin 1%
Steven Spielberg 0.5%
Jesse Eisenberg 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
CN
Christopher Nolan
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 57.59¢
NO 42.41¢
DV
Denis Villeneuve
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.2¢
NO 87.8¢
AI
Alejandro G. Iñárritu
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
LO
Lance Oppenheim
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.79¢
NO 87.21¢
JA
Javier Calvo or Javier Ambrossi
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.76¢
NO 90.24¢
PF
Peter Farrelly
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
PM
Phil Lord or Christopher Miller
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
OW
Olivia Wilde
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
MM
Martin McDonagh
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
AS
Aaron Sorkin
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SS
Steven Spielberg
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
JE
Jesse Eisenberg
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
CN
Christopher Nolan
chance
58%
YES · 57.59¢
NO · 42.41¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 57.59¢
173.6
if Christopher Nolan wins
+$65 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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CN
Christopher Nolan
YES 57.59¢ · NO 42.41¢ · chance 58%
TRADE
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