'27
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
resolves Jul 1, 2027 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
The Black Ball 41%
The Odyssey 20%
The Invite 21%
Ink 3%
All of a Sudden 4%
Dune: Part Three 5%
Wildwood 0.5%
Project Hail Mary 2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth 1%
Toy Story 5 0.5%
Saturn Return 1%
The Social Reckoning 1%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
TB
The Black Ball
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 41.13¢
NO 58.87¢
TO
The Odyssey
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 20.09¢
NO 79.91¢
TI
The Invite
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 21.04¢
NO 78.96¢
IN
Ink
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.97¢
NO 97¢
AS
All of a Sudden
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.68¢
NO 96.32¢
DT
Dune: Part Three
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.54¢
NO 95.46¢
WI
Wildwood
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
PM
Project Hail Mary
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.2¢
NO 97¢
TB
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
T5
Toy Story 5
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SR
Saturn Return
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
TR
The Social Reckoning
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
TB
The Black Ball
chance
41%
YES · 41.13¢
NO · 58.87¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 41.13¢
243.1
if The Black Ball wins
+$131 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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TB
The Black Ball
YES 41.13¢ · NO 58.87¢ · chance 41%
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