'26
NY-17 House Election Winner
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Mike Lawler (R) 37%
Cait Conley (D) 63%
Someone else 1%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
M(
Mike Lawler (R)
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
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4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
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8
9
%
YES 36.5¢
NO 63.5¢
C(
Cait Conley (D)
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
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6
7
8
9
%
YES 62.5¢
NO 37.5¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
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7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
M(
Mike Lawler (R)
chance
37%
YES · 36.5¢
NO · 63.5¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 36.5¢
274.0
if Mike Lawler (R) wins
+$160 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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M(
Mike Lawler (R)
YES 36.5¢ · NO 63.5¢ · chance 37%
TRADE
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