'26
Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
resolves Nov 8, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Christopher Luxon 58%
Chris Hipkins 38%
Nicola Willis 0.5%
Winston Peters 0.5%
Chlöe Swarbrick 0.5%
Carmel Sepuloni 0.5%
David Seymour 1%
Someone else 2%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
CL
Christopher Luxon
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
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8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 57.6¢
NO 42.4¢
CH
Chris Hipkins
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 37.74¢
NO 62.26¢
NW
Nicola Willis
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
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6
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8
9
.
0
1
2
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8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
WP
Winston Peters
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
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5
6
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8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
CS
Chlöe Swarbrick
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
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4
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8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
CS
Carmel Sepuloni
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
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7
8
9
.
0
1
2
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4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
DS
David Seymour
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
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7
8
9
%
YES 2.09¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
CL
Christopher Luxon
chance
58%
YES · 57.6¢
NO · 42.4¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 57.6¢
173.6
if Christopher Luxon wins
+$65 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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CL
Christopher Luxon
YES 57.6¢ · NO 42.4¢ · chance 58%
TRADE
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