'26
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
resolves Oct 31, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
No release by October 31 82%
October 28 0.5%
October 21 0.5%
October 14 1%
October 23 1%
October 19 2%
October 16 1%
October 26 0.5%
October 13 2%
October 31 0.5%
October 17 4%
October 20 4%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
N3
No release by October 31
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 81.63¢
NO 18.37¢
O2
October 28
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
O2
October 21
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
O1
October 14
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
O2
October 23
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
O1
October 19
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.27¢
NO 97¢
O1
October 16
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
O2
October 26
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
O1
October 13
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.31¢
NO 97¢
O3
October 31
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
O1
October 17
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.72¢
NO 96.28¢
O2
October 20
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.31¢
NO 95.69¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
RELATED MARKETS
ai
LIVE
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$0 24h vol
ai
LIVE
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0 24h vol
crypto
LIVE
BTC/USD — above or below in 10 minutes?
live rounds →
PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
N3
No release by October 31
chance
82%
YES · 81.63¢
NO · 18.37¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 81.63¢
122.5
if No release by October 31 wins
+$16 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
Sign in to trade
MY POSITIONS
Sign in to see your positions on this market.
✦
Every settled trade earns Points —
see what earns Points →
ACTIVITY
No trades on this market yet.
predictbay.io
N3
No release by October 31
YES 81.63¢ · NO 18.37¢ · chance 82%
TRADE
Sign in to trade