'27
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
resolves Mar 1, 2027 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
No Next Minister by Feb 28 32%
Matan Kahana 7%
Yoram Cohen 13%
Talya Lankri 9%
Itamar Ben Gvir 12%
Ofer Winter 10%
Elazar Stern 3%
Amir Ohana 4%
Gideon Sa’ar 0.5%
Yossi Cohen 1%
Avi Dichter 1%
Bezalel Smotrich 2%
Someone else 5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
N2
No Next Minister by Feb 28
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 31.92¢
NO 68.08¢
MK
Matan Kahana
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.48¢
NO 92.52¢
YC
Yoram Cohen
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 13.47¢
NO 86.53¢
TL
Talya Lankri
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.48¢
NO 90.52¢
IG
Itamar Ben Gvir
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.97¢
NO 88.03¢
OW
Ofer Winter
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10.47¢
NO 89.53¢
ES
Elazar Stern
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.54¢
NO 97¢
AO
Amir Ohana
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.89¢
NO 96.11¢
GS
Gideon Sa’ar
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
YC
Yossi Cohen
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
AD
Avi Dichter
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
BS
Bezalel Smotrich
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.84¢
NO 95.16¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
N2
No Next Minister by Feb 28
chance
32%
YES · 31.92¢
NO · 68.08¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 31.92¢
313.3
if No Next Minister by Feb 28 wins
+$198 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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N2
No Next Minister by Feb 28
YES 31.92¢ · NO 68.08¢ · chance 32%
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