'26
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
resolves Nov 1, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
No release by October 31 31%
October 16 6%
October 15 6%
October 19 3%
October 26 0.5%
October 14 9%
October 13 10%
October 29 9%
October 20 9%
October 27 5%
October 21 0.5%
October 24 0.5%
Someone else 11%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
N3
No release by October 31
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 31.45¢
NO 68.55¢
O1
October 16
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 5.81¢
NO 94.19¢
O1
October 15
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 5.61¢
NO 94.39¢
O1
October 19
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.68¢
NO 97¢
O2
October 26
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
O1
October 14
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.54¢
NO 91.46¢
O1
October 13
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.59¢
NO 90.41¢
O2
October 29
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.14¢
NO 90.86¢
O2
October 20
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.39¢
NO 90.61¢
O2
October 27
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.87¢
NO 95.13¢
O2
October 21
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
O2
October 24
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.43¢
NO 88.57¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
N3
No release by October 31
chance
31%
YES · 31.45¢
NO · 68.55¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 31.45¢
318.0
if No release by October 31 wins
+$202 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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N3
No release by October 31
YES 31.45¢ · NO 68.55¢ · chance 31%
TRADE
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