'28
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
resolves Jan 1, 2028 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
No Next Chancellor before 2028 52%
Hendrik Wüst 13%
Markus Söder 13%
Boris Pistorius 7%
Alice Weidel 3%
Felix Banaszak 3%
Lars Klingbeil 1%
Katharina Dröge 1%
Sahra Wagenknecht 2%
Heidi Reichinnek 3%
Jens Spahn 0.5%
Carsten Linnemann 1%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
N2
No Next Chancellor before 2028
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 51.63¢
NO 48.37¢
HW
Hendrik Wüst
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 13.49¢
NO 86.51¢
MS
Markus Söder
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 13.49¢
NO 86.51¢
BP
Boris Pistorius
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.98¢
NO 93.02¢
AW
Alice Weidel
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.16¢
NO 96.84¢
FB
Felix Banaszak
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.21¢
NO 96.79¢
LK
Lars Klingbeil
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
KD
Katharina Dröge
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SW
Sahra Wagenknecht
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.42¢
NO 97¢
HR
Heidi Reichinnek
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.07¢
NO 96.93¢
JS
Jens Spahn
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
CL
Carsten Linnemann
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
N2
No Next Chancellor before 2028
chance
52%
YES · 51.63¢
NO · 48.37¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 51.63¢
193.7
if No Next Chancellor before 2028 wins
+$84 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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N2
No Next Chancellor before 2028
YES 51.63¢ · NO 48.37¢ · chance 52%
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