'26
New Zealand legislative election winner?
resolves Nov 7, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
National Party 8%
Labour Party 8%
Te Pāti Māori 8%
Green Party 8%
ACT New Zealand 8%
New Zealand First Party 8%
Party A 8%
Party B 8%
Party C 8%
Party D 8%
Party E 8%
Party F 8%
Someone else 8%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
NP
National Party
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
LP
Labour Party
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
TM
Te Pāti Māori
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
GP
Green Party
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
AZ
ACT New Zealand
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
NP
New Zealand First Party
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
PA
Party A
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
PB
Party B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
PC
Party C
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
PD
Party D
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
PE
Party E
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
PF
Party F
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
NP
National Party
chance
8%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 7.69¢
NO · 92.31¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 7.69¢
1300.4
if National Party wins
+$1135 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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NP
National Party
YES 7.69¢ · NO 92.31¢ · chance 8%
TICKET
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