'26
Nebraska Senate Election Margin of Victory
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Independent 3%+ 9%
Independent 0-3% 3%
Republican 6-9% 13%
Republican 0-3% 13%
Republican 3-6% 33%
Republican 9-12% 23%
Republican 15-18% 4%
Republican 18-21% 0.4%
Republican 12-15% 1%
Republican 21%+ 0.4%
Someone else 0.4%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
I3
Independent 3%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.57¢
NO 91.43¢
I0
Independent 0-3%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.5¢
NO 97¢
R6
Republican 6-9%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 13.4¢
NO 86.6¢
R0
Republican 0-3%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 13.4¢
NO 86.6¢
R3
Republican 3-6%
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 33.5¢
NO 66.5¢
R9
Republican 9-12%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 23.03¢
NO 76.97¢
R1
Republican 15-18%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.56¢
NO 96.44¢
R1
Republican 18-21%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
R1
Republican 12-15%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
R2
Republican 21%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
I3
Independent 3%+
chance
9%
YES · 8.57¢
NO · 91.43¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 8.57¢
1166.9
if Independent 3%+ wins
+$1009 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
Trading closed on this market
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I3
Independent 3%+
YES 8.57¢ · NO 91.43¢ · chance 9%
TRADE
Trading closed on this market