'26
NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Republican 40-45% 9%
Republican 45-50% 17%
Republican 50-55% 24%
Republican 55-60% 10%
Republican 0-25% 2%
Republican 35-40% 12%
Republican 25-35% 25%
Republican 65%+ 0.3%
Republican 60-65% 1%
Democrat Wins 0.3%
Someone else 0.3%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
R4
Republican 40-45%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.19¢
NO 90.81¢
R4
Republican 45-50%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 17.16¢
NO 82.84¢
R5
Republican 50-55%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 24¢
NO 76¢
R5
Republican 55-60%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.5¢
NO 90.5¢
R0
Republican 0-25%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.3¢
NO 97¢
R3
Republican 35-40%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.74¢
NO 88.26¢
R2
Republican 25-35%
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 24.58¢
NO 75.42¢
R6
Republican 65%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
R6
Republican 60-65%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
DW
Democrat Wins
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
R4
Republican 40-45%
chance
9%
YES · 9.19¢
NO · 90.81¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 9.19¢
1088.1
if Republican 40-45% wins
+$934 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
Trading closed on this market
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R4
Republican 40-45%
YES 9.19¢ · NO 90.81¢ · chance 9%
TRADE
Trading closed on this market