'26
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Rogers 0-3% 19%
El-Sayed 3-6% 21%
El-Sayed 6-9% 17%
El-Sayed 0-3% 19%
El-Sayed 9-12% 8%
El-Sayed 12%+ 3%
Rogers 3-6% 3%
Rogers 12%+ 2%
Rogers 6-9% 3%
Rogers 9-12% 3%
Someone else 3%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
R0
Rogers 0-3%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 19¢
NO 81¢
E3
El-Sayed 3-6%
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 20.5¢
NO 79.5¢
E6
El-Sayed 6-9%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.5¢
NO 83.5¢
E0
El-Sayed 0-3%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 18.5¢
NO 81.5¢
E9
El-Sayed 9-12%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.35¢
NO 91.65¢
E1
El-Sayed 12%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3¢
NO 97¢
R3
Rogers 3-6%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.35¢
NO 96.65¢
R1
Rogers 12%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
R6
Rogers 6-9%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.9¢
NO 97¢
R9
Rogers 9-12%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.45¢
NO 96.55¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.9¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
R0
Rogers 0-3%
chance
19%
YES · 19¢
NO · 81¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 19¢
526.3
if Rogers 0-3% wins
+$400 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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R0
Rogers 0-3%
YES 19¢ · NO 81¢ · chance 19%
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